NATIONAL BUDGET FOR 1999-2001


Indicators of Economic Development, 1997-2001
Resources and Uses, 1998-2000
National Product and Income, 1998-2000
Public Consumption, 1998-2000
Gross Investment, 1998-2000
The Balance of Payments, 1998-2000
Population, Labor Force, and Employment, 1998-2000
Selected Interest Rates, 1997-1999
Monetary Indicators, 1997-1999


Table 1

Indicators of Economic Development, 1998-2002



2001-2002a

1998 Est.
1999
Forecast
2000*
Target
scenario**
Alternative
scenario
Sources and uses (real change)
Gross domestic product 2.2 2.0 3.0 4.2 3.3
Domestic business-sector product 2.2 1.6 3.3 4.8 3.8
Private per capita consumption 1.1 0.4 1.3 2.7 1.6
Public consumption excl. defense imports 1.5 3.0 1.9 2.0 2.0
of which Civilian consumption 1.9 3.3 2.6 2.4 2.4
Investment in fixed assets -4.0 2.6 -2.6 3.0 2.0
Domestic uses 0.8 4.5 2.0 3.6 2.7
Exports of goods and services 6.3 7.0 9.5 8.0 7.4
Civilian imports 1.4 12.9 4.8 6.0 5.4

Balance of payments

(billions of current $)
Civilian imports 39.9 43.1 45.5 50.5 50.0
Exports 35.0 37.4 40.9 46.4 46.2
Civilian import surplus 4.9 5.7 4.6 4.1 3.8
Current account -0.7 -1.3 -0.3 0.1 0.3
Current account (in GDP terms) -0.8 -1.4 -0.3 0.1 0.3
Foreign currency reserves of Bank of Israel (end-year)b 22.7 21.8


Population, employment, and prices (real change, percent)
Immigrant arrivals during year ('000s) 57 60 60 60 60
Mean population growth 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2
Unemployment rate (percent of labor force) 8.5 8.9 8.7 7.2 8.3
Rise in CPI during yearc 8.6 1.2


Employed Israelis, total 1.8 2.1 2.0 3.5 2.6
of which In business sector 0.2 1.3 2.2 3.9 2.6
Public sector (percent of GDP)
Domestic deficit (planned) of government, excl. credit 2.4 2.0 2.5 1.8 2.0
Government domestic deficit, cash data 2.4 ...


* The forecast for the year 2000 is based on the partial and interim statistics published by the Central Bureau of Statistics for 1999. The final figures may be significantly different.

** Contingent on economic reforms and fiscal policy (see Chapter 2) that will serve to accelerate the growth rate. This policy involves inter alia the reduction of the share of the public sector together with the easing of the tax burden, adhering to the provisions of the Budget Deficit Reduction Law, increasing infrastructure investment, and making the tax system more rational. The alternative scenario assumes adherence to the Budget Deficit Reduction Law, but no reduction of the tax rate. In accordance with the amended Budget Deficit Reduction Law, accelerated growth enables a steeper reduction of the deficit in the target scenario than in the alternative scenario.

a Average.

b In 1999, to end-September.

c In 1999, to end-September, annual rate.



Table 2

Resources and Uses, 1998-2000

Current value
1998
Change over previous year (percent)

Prices

Quantity

Est.
1999
1998 1998 Est.
1999
Forecast
2000
  (NIS million)  
Total resources 531,012 6.0 5.8 2.1 4.9 3.6
Gross domestic product 376,107 6.7 5.5 2.2 2.0 3.0
Imports of goods and services 154,905 4.5 6.6 1.7 11.9 4.8
of which Civilian imports 146,464 4.2 6.4 1.4 12.9 4.8
Total uses 531,012 6.0 5.8 2.1 4.9 3.6
of which Excl. direct defense imports 522,571 6.0 5.7 2.0 5.1 3.9
Private consumption 225,555 5.3 4.7 3.6 2.7 3.6
Public consumption 110,342 6.4 6.6 2.0 2.3 2.1
of which Excl. direct defense imports 101,901 6.2 6.2 1.5 3.0 1.9
Gross domestic investment 73,189 6.3 1.6 -8.0 12.3 -1.8
of which In fixed assets 75,367 6.0 6.4 -4.0 2.6 -2.6
Value of exports at domestic prices 121,926 6.8 9.8 6.3 7.0 9.5
Net payments to factors of production abroad 7,796 ... ... ... ... ...
Gross national product 368,311 ... ... ... ... ...
Gross business-sector product 249,960 6.9 6.2 2.2 1.6 3.3


Table 3

National Product and Income, 1998-2000
  Current value
1998
Real change over previouse year (percent) a
1998 Estimate
1999
Forecast
2000
  (NIS million)  
Gross national product (market prices) 368,311 4.1 2.8 2.5
Depreciation 54,709 6.7 4.6 4.5
Indirect taxes on domestic production 53,946 2.7 3.7 4.0
Subsidies to domestic production 2,947 -4.0 -1.2 -1.5
Subsidy component of government loans 138 -30.7 -54.3 -24.2
National income 262,741 3.7 2.2 1.7
Depreciation in private sector 50,308 6.9 4.7 4.5
Public sector’s domestic income from property 2,412 116.9 -152.4 -16.9
Income tax and bonds 54,962 3.1 1.0 3.5
National Insurance payments 22,613 4.7 4.3 4.5
Net current transfer payments 59,363 6.6 2.9 4.5
Private transfers from abroad

8,343

-0.9

11.5

2.0

Gross private disposable income from all sources 300,768 4.3 4.3 2.1
Gross private saving rate from all sources (percent)
25.0 26.1 25.1
a - In terms of purchasing power.

Table 4
Public Consumption, 1998-2000

  Current value
1998
Real change over previouse year (percent)
1998 Estimate
1999
Forecast
2000
  (NIS million)  
Civilian consumption 75,442 1.9 3.3 2.6
Wages 50,863 0.8 2.8 2.5
Purchases 20,178 4.0 4.4 2.5
Depreciation 4,401 3.6 2.7 4.0
Net defense consumption 34,900 2.3 0.2 0.2
Gross domestic defense consumption 27,024 0.4 2.2 0.0
Wages 15,400 -0.2 0.1 0.0
Purchases, incl. construction 11,624 1.1 5.0 0.0
Direct imports 8,533 8.1 -5.9 1.4
Sales 657 -7.9 5.0 5.0
Total net public expenditure 110,342 2.0 2.3 1.9
Public consumption, excl. direct defense imports 101,809 1.5 3.0 1.9


Table 5
Gross Investment, 1998-2000

  Current value
1998
Real change over previouse year (percent)
1998 Estimate
1999
Forecast
2000
  (NIS million)  
Gross investment 73,189 -8.0 12.3 -1.8
Change in inventory (percent of GDP) -2,178 -0.7 1.4 1.4
Fixed assets 75,367 -3.9 2.6 -2.6
Residential construction 22,912 -6.7 -9.0 -2.0
Nonresidential investment 52,455 -2.7 7.6 -2.8
Shipping and aircraft 213 -75.3 1,254.0 -76.0
Nonresidential investment excl. shipping and aircraft 52,242 -1.5 2.5 2.6
Structures and earthworks 18,983 -4.2 -9.1 2.0
Equipment and machinery 25,341 2.9 9.4 -1.5
of which Imported 17,160 4.4 13.7 -1.5
Domestic production 8,181 -0.1 0.5 -1.5
Land transport equipment 5,872 -11.7 5.5 5.0
Intangible assets 2,046 7.8 16.0 15.0


Table 6
The Balance of Payments, 1997-1999


1998 Estimate
1999
Forecast
2000

(current $, billion)
Total exports

35.0

37.4 40.9
of which Capital income

2.8

2.8 2.8
Total civilian imports

39.9

43.1 45.5
of which Capital expenditure

3.7

3.2 3.2
Total defense imports

1.9

1.8 2.0
Goods and services  

Civilian import surplus

4.9

5.7 4.6
Total import surplus

6.8

7.5 6.6
Net current transfers

6.1

6.2 6.3
Current account

-0.7

-1.3 -0.3
Capital transfers

1.8

1.6 1.6
Current account plus capital transfers

1.1

0.3 1.3


Table 7
Population, Labor Force, and Employment, 1998-2000



Change over previous year (percent)

1998 Estimate
1999
Forecast
2000
1998 Estimate
1999
Forecast
2000

(000s)

 
Mean population 5,971 6,109 6,250 2.4 2.3 2.3
Working age population 4,244 4,354 4,450 2.8 2.6 2.2
Civilian labor force 2,269 2,326 2,368 2.7 2.5 1.8
Employed in business sector 1,640 1,656 1,693 0.5 1.0 2.2
Employed in public services 631 654 671 5.2 3.6 2.6
Total Israelis employed 2,077 2,120 2,163 1.8 2.1 2.0
Unemployed persons 192 206 205 11.1 7.3 -0.5
Percent





Working age/total population 71.1 71.3 71.2


Participation rate 53.5 53.4 53.5


Unemployment rate 8.5 8.9 8.7



Table 8
Selected Interest Rates,a 1997-1999
(averages, annual rates, percent)



1997 1998 1999 (Till August)
Credit lines and overdrawn demand deposits 20.8 18.3 19.4
Total nondirected local-currency credit 18.7 16.2 16.8
SROs 12.2 10.2 11.1
Yield to maturity on Treasury bills 14.1 12.3 12.8
Gross yield to maturity on 5-year indexed bonds 3.9 5.0 5.4

a All interest rates are effective nominal rates, except for yields on bonds, which are real.
Source: Bank of Israel.


Table 9
Monetary Indicators, 1997-99a



Change (percent)
Average reserves (NIS mill.) Since beginning of
year(to Sept, annual terms)
Over same period
in previous year

1997 19981999
to
Sept.
1998 1999 1997 1998
M1 18,554 20,806 22,753 15.2 13.7 9.4 9.0
SROs and time deposits 93,491 112,810 136,152 19.6 26.4 22.2 22.5
M2 (incl. Treasury bills) 121,883 149,430 176,696 23.1 24.2 24.2 19.7
Deposits in and indexed to foreign currencyb 28,672 33,730 19,824 8.7 10.1 9.0 24.9
M3 148,341 181,179 215,559 21.2 21.9 22.0 21.5
Total assets in banks and Bank of Israelc 299,520 345,850 396,290 12.2 10.3 15.1 16.8
Stocks and bonds 339,626 368,068 415,769 7.1 22.7 5.8 20.5
Total (6+7) 639,146 713,918 812,059 9.5 16.4 10.1 18.7
Total nondirected credit (10+11) 234,645 272,142 313,749 14.3 13.4 13.9 17.4
Unindexed and CPI-indexed credit 169,901 195,573 226,229 13.4 13.1 15.5 16.8
Credit in and indexed to foreign currency 64,744 76,570 87,520 16.7 14.2 9.9 19.1
a Data are final to July, preliminary to September; items 1-5 and 9-11 are averages of daily data.
b Including time deposits, resident and demand deposits, unrestricted deposits (individuals and corporations), and residents' nonresident deposits.
c Including M3, restitutions deposits, savings schemes, earmarked deposits, and CPI-indexed long-term deposits.






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